The Next Shoe - When and Where?

usinkorea · #1 06-19-2006, 08:44 PM

I thought I'd write a little something about Pyongtaek even though there isn't much news on the protest front.

The point of the post ---- it is anybody's guess when, where, how, and on what scale the next event on the protest front will happen.

Some things are utterly predictable.

What we saw in Pyongtaek in May was predictable way back in the late 1980s and early 1990s.

As soon as the US and SK got down to agreeing on getting Yongsan out of Seoul, some things were automatically going to happen.

With the Yongsan move finally being put into actual practice here in 2006 ---
those things did happen.

I said at different times at different places on the Korea-related internet -

You knew the move world require new construction somewhere in Korea

and that construction would be the targe of anti-US groups.

You knew they'd convince locals to fight expansion.

You knew the government would have to use force to move the hold outs out.

You knew the government would have to try to build a perimeter in which constructoin could be done with minimal outside interference.

The only question was when the first real battle was going to take place.

It finally came in May of this year.

Now what?

Who knows........

Now that the bulk of the perimeter has been formed and the hold outs removed ---

----I am not sure what the key points will be.

This is an interesting time.

The anti-US groups can pick and choose when, where, and how to strike.

It is a guessing game......

I have no predictions.

Other than they will strike periodically.

They will not give up on the effort to make the Pyongtaek base expansion a debacle.

They will also stike at other bases that are part of the Land Partnership Plan.

Environmentalism will be a big key.

Training ranges will be a big target.

But, I have no idea when the next push will come.

chucksnee · #2 06-19-2006, 08:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by usinkorea

I thought I'd write a little something about Pyongtaek even though there isn't much news on the protest front.

The point of the post ---- it is anybody's guess when, where, how, and on what scale the next event on the protest front will happen.

Some things are utterly predictable.

What we saw in Pyongtaek in May was predictable way back in the late 1980s and early 1990s.

As soon as the US and SK got down to agreeing on getting Yongsan out of Seoul, some things were automatically going to happen.

With the Yongsan move finally being put into actual practice here in 2006 ---
those things did happen.

I said at different times at different places on the Korea-related internet -

You knew the move world require new construction somewhere in Korea

and that construction would be the targe of anti-US groups.

You knew they'd convince locals to fight expansion.

You knew the government would have to use force to move the hold outs out.

You knew the government would have to try to build a perimeter in which constructoin could be done with minimal outside interference.

The only question was when the first real battle was going to take place.

It finally came in May of this year.

Now what?

Who knows........

Now that the bulk of the perimeter has been formed and the hold outs removed ---

----I am not sure what the key points will be.

This is an interesting time.

The anti-US groups can pick and choose when, where, and how to strike.

It is a guessing game......

I have no predictions.

Other than they will strike periodically.

They will not give up on the effort to make the Pyongtaek base expansion a debacle.

They will also stike at other bases that are part of the Land Partnership Plan.

Environmentalism will be a big key.

Training ranges will be a big target.

But, I have no idea when the next push will come.

So the point to this post was "you don't know"?

bull · #3 06-20-2006, 12:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by usinkorea

I thought I'd write a little something about Pyongtaek even though there isn't much news on the protest front.

The point of the post ---- it is anybody's guess when, where, how, and on what scale the next event on the protest front will happen.

Some things are utterly predictable.

What we saw in Pyongtaek in May was predictable way back in the late 1980s and early 1990s.

As soon as the US and SK got down to agreeing on getting Yongsan out of Seoul, some things were automatically going to happen.

With the Yongsan move finally being put into actual practice here in 2006 ---
those things did happen.

I said at different times at different places on the Korea-related internet -

You knew the move world require new construction somewhere in Korea

and that construction would be the targe of anti-US groups.

You knew they'd convince locals to fight expansion.

You knew the government would have to use force to move the hold outs out.

You knew the government would have to try to build a perimeter in which constructoin could be done with minimal outside interference.

The only question was when the first real battle was going to take place.

It finally came in May of this year.

Now what?

Who knows........

Now that the bulk of the perimeter has been formed and the hold outs removed ---

----I am not sure what the key points will be.

This is an interesting time.

The anti-US groups can pick and choose when, where, and how to strike.

It is a guessing game......

I have no predictions.

Other than they will strike periodically.

They will not give up on the effort to make the Pyongtaek base expansion a debacle.

They will also stike at other bases that are part of the Land Partnership Plan.

Environmentalism will be a big key.

Training ranges will be a big target.

But, I have no idea when the next push will come.

Most of USFK will be moved OFF peninsula before Pyongtaek is ready for the extra troops. Patience is wearing thin on boths sides and the US is close to just handing the ROKs a forwarding address and coming back for an exercise or two a year. A small skeleton crew from each service might remain but I will be surprised (pleasantly) if we have anywhere close to 10000 troops here by 2012

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